Nineteen serious candidates have filed for the Democratic presidential nomination. There are certainly more on the way, including Joe Biden. I will take a look at those most likely to be successful.
Biden and Bernie Sanders currently are in the lead. Much of that is based on name recognition but each brings a lot to the table. Biden has built a lot of contacts and good will from his many years in politics. Many are fighting for votes from the extreme left, leaving Biden with a large bloc of voters. Sanders has the organization he built in 2016.
The biggest challenge most face is standing out from the pack. Kamala Harris is black and female. Being from the most populous state won’t hurt. Pete Buttigieg has more going for him than just being gay. He is young, energetic and a dynamic speaker.
My surprise pick is Julian Castor. Only forty-five, he has served in the Obama cabinet and is Mayor of San Antonio. He has intimate knowledge of big city politics and a political family to back him up.
Elizabeth Warren and Beto O’Rourke have gained lots of attention. I don’t think she can get past her claims of Native American ancestry. He has had his day in the sun.
A lot can happen over the next year. Nobody would have considered Donald Trump to have a chance four years ago.