Even though Bernie Sanders won a few states yesterday, I think it is all over but the shouting. In most states Hillary Clinton won by huge majorities. It takes 2,383 delegates to win the Democratic nomination. She currently leads 1001 to 371 according to the Washington Post. . She has 42% of the delegates she needs and 73% of the delegates elected so far. Barring an unexpected indictment or some other scandal, I can’t think of anything that would stop her.
The Republican picture isn’t so clear. Trump had a very good day winning in eight of the twelve states. However, most states award delegates on a proportional basis or winner-take-all if the winner gets between 50-85% of the vote. Trump is yet to get 50% in any state. If he stands even a chance of getting enough delegates, he must win in Florida and Ohio, the two biggest winner-take-all states. So far Trump has only 23% of the delegates he needs and just under 50% of the delegates elected.
Trump may certainly get the nomination but it is by no means a slam dunk.