I really enjoy political analysis. Even though the 2020 election is twenty months, I can’t resist the urge to write about it.
If Democrats want to regain the White House, they need to do two things: keep the base together and devise a plan to win back the states they lost. There are six states that President Obama won in 2012 and Hillary Clinton lost in 2016. They are Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. They are all either swing states or slightly lean Democratic. Together they have 99 electoral votes, over a third of the votes needed to win.
Twelve Democrats have announced their candidacy so far. Nine are from heavily blue states. Two are mayors, which gives a narrower base. The ninth, former Colorado governor John Hickenlooper, is a long shot. None of them are from any of the six states.
Politically they have shown even more disregard for those states. Every candidate is trying to outdo the other in moving to the left. They do not represent the views of the people in those states.
Another approach is to reach out to the people themselves. President Clinton talked of feeling their pain. His wife called them deplorable. They are continuing the theme that being Republican is a sign of poor character. Joe Biden ran into a hornet’s nest when he said Mike Pence was a decent guy.
They are not reaching out to the residents of these six states geographically, politically or personally. How do they expect to win?