Although I am no fan of Roy Moore, I was skeptical when the first accusation of sexual impropriety was lodged against him. Given the level of partisanship, an allegation dating back nearly forty years doesn’t seem too credible.
A lot of has changed since then. There are now five accusers, one a Trump supporter. One produced a high school yearbook signed by Moore when he was in his thirties. Moore gave a weasely answer when asked if he dated underage girls. Like most I believe the accusers, not Moore.
So what happens now? Most Republicans are telling him to drop out. Someone arrogant enough to believe they can ignore federal court orders will likely decide to stay in. Dropping out would be an admission that the charges are true.
There has been talk of Republicans pushing a write-in campaign. Splitting the Republican vote would give the seat to the Democrats. The best that the GOP can hope is for Moore to win and then expel him from the Senate. The Constitution requires a two-thirds majority to do so. Assuming all Democrats vote against him, it would only take nineteen Republicans. Then the election cycle would start over.
A Democratic senator from Alabama? That sounds as likely as Donald Trump winning a presidential election.