Let’s pretend we have a time machine and go back two years. We could get really good odds betting than Donald Trump would be president. Virtually nobody thought he had a chance. Eight months is an eternity in politics.
Even though predictions this far out are of little value, political analysts try to read the tea leaves and see great value in every scrap of information. When the GOP won the first few special elections, it was interpreted as a clear sign they would do well in the midterms. Then the Democrats won a pair of blue state governorships and a senate seat in Alabama and it was an omen of doom. The only real lesson is that it’s not a good to have a sexual predator as a candidate.
Now it looks like a Democrat may have won a special election in Pennsylvania. The vote is tight and absentee ballots need to be counted. A recount is possible. The point is, no matter who prevails, it will have absolutely no bearing on what happens in November.
I have some analysis of my own but will save that for later.