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Looking to November - Part 2

1/4/2016

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Last time I speculated that if the GOP nominated someone other than Marco Rubio (or another main stream candidate), Hillary Clinton would win the election. A Clinton-Rubio match would be very interesting. Usually it’s the Democrats that have the younger, more exciting candidate.
So can Rubio win? Let’s look at the numbers. It takes 270 electoral votes to win. In 2012 Romney picked up 206 so the Republicans need to find 64 votes. The first place to look is Florida with 29 votes. Obama won it by less than 1%. If he is running, Rubio will certainly win the state.
That leaves 35 votes. Romney lost Virginia and its 13 votes by 4%. I think Rubio stands a good chance there. Colorado, Iowa and New Hampshire showed losses of 5-6%. Winning all three (a questionable proposition) adds 19 votes, still three votes short.
Enter Ohio and Pennsylvania with 18 and 20 votes respectively. Romney lost the states by 3 and 5%. On election night we need to watch these two states closely. Republicans MUST win one of these states. If not, White House closets will be full of pants suits.
I hope this doesn’t come off as professorial. I really enjoy playing the election numbers game. Next time I will likely be ranting and raving about something that upsets me.

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    Hi! My name is Dave. I'm in my 60s and live in Indiana. I'll write about whatever is on my mind but most posts will be political. I'm a centrist who thinks both sides are on the wrong path.

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At long last this idiotic shutdown is over. Hopefully cooler heads prevail and it doesn’t start up again.

The real story is that 800,000 government workers are back on the job and many millions of people are no longer inconvenienced.

Unfortunately, that is not the story we are hearing in the media. Their story is about how Speaker Pelosi beat President Trump. He got himself into this mess. She decided that all that mattered was winning. The harm done to the people involved was of no concern whatsoever. A good leader puts the good of the people over political gamesmanship,

it would be nice to think that both people have learned their lesson and will try to do what is best for the
country. I sure wouldn’t bet on it.
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