President Trump has some people working really hard for his reelection. They just don’t know it. New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio sat down for an interview with CNN. Apparently, he doesn’t believe the Democratic Party has moved far enough left. He said “There is still a lot of moderate voices in the party that did not learn the lessons of 2016 and are not listening to what people need in this country.”
I think he was the one who didn’t learn the lessons of 2016 or 2018. Hillary Clinton’s ideology had nothing to do with her defeat. She was a lousy candidate, ran an abysmal campaign and the Left deserted her. Ideology did make a difference in the 2018 House races. President Trump made himself and the wall the main issues while moderate Democrats responded to the concerns of the electorate.
It is a simple matter of mathematics. Of the fifteen Pacific states and Atlantic states from Virginia north, she won all but one (Alaska). She only won six of the remaining thirty-five. You don’t find a lot of socialists in the states she needed to win.
Right now, analyzing the 2020 presidential election looks pretty easy. It is doubtful that Trump will change at all. If the Democrats nominate a good candidate with widespread support, they will be back in the White House. Otherwise, Trump will serve a second term.
Some people believe that there are millions of potential voters who stay away from the polls because no candidate is extreme enough for them. Each party tried that once. Barry Goldwater won six states in 1964 and George McGovern only won one in 1972.