Now it is getting really tough to make predictions. At this point a coin flip might be as effective as all my analysis. Since my projection shows Clinton getting close to a win, I will start with the smaller states.
New Hampshire has four electoral votes. It was a Republican state for well over a century but Democrats have taken five out of the last six elections. Obama won by six points last time. I think Clinton will win but by a closer margin.
Wisconsin has ten electoral votes. Ronald Reagan was the last Republican to win the Dairy State. Some may point to them electing Scott Walker but many states split tickets. I’ll give this one to Clinton.
That puts her over the top. I expect her to add Florida, Ohio and Virginia with Trump picking up North Carolina. That makes the final tally 332 to 206.
The election is three months away and a lot can happen. I’ll take another look in September.