Now we are down to the states that are really close. My projection for the other states has Clinton leading 262 to 190 with 270 needed for the win. Let’s get started:
Florida – The polls are useless since the margin of victory is almost always within the margin of error. It will take a very large organization to get out the vote. For that reason I favor Clinton. Let’s just hope there isn’t another debacle like in 2000.
Iowa – This is usually close but I think Trump will win.
Maine and Nebraska – It looks like Trump will be able to pick up the remaining vote in each state.
Nevada – Recent polls have favored Trump by a slight margin. Assuming he doesn’t blow it by saying something stupid, I think he will come out on top.
North Carolina – Most of the polls slightly favor Clinton but I think the Democrats are an election or two from taking the state.
Ohio – This is always a battleground state. The polls are consistently favoring Trump and I think he will pull it off.
Wisconsin – Even though they have elected a Republican governor and senator, this is still a Democratic state. I expect Clinton to win.
So there you have it. If my projections come through, Clinton will win 301 to 237. That’s a lot closer that it seems. If Trump picks up Florida, he is only four votes short. A lot can happen in the next thirty-nine days.